Early in the coronavirus pandemic, Taranto’s Pizza in Lewis Center had problems acquiring two staple pizza ingredients: pepperoni and cheese. Pepperoni is particularly vulnerable to a rise in meat prices because it’s composed of several different kinds of meat, and a problem at any point in the supply chain can disrupt prices. “We had a shortage of pepperoni at one point, and then the price went up, and then cheese prices went sky high,” owner Debbie Taranto said. It does not intend to create utopian dreams or offer that "pie in the sky" to the people. The week ended December 26th showed 1.15 million new unemployment claims, still sky high. There was a fall of -32K in the state unemployment programs and an -88K fall in the PUA (Pandemic Unemployment Assistance) programs. It seems as long as the factories were adequately producing, the state cared nothing about the workers. In addition, total state and PUA Continuing Claims (CCs) are still hovering near 20 million (see chart and table) as of mid-December. The accompanying chart at the top of this blog shows that Initial Claims (ICs) are still significantly above 1 million/week.
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The current market mantra is that, with the vaccines now in distribution, and despite issues there, by spring/summer consumers will feel confident enough to return to some pre-pandemic spending habits, and second half 2021 economic growth will be “V” shaped. The CFO Survey 2011 3rd quarter results shows that capital & Technology spending will increase; Outsourced employment will increase in all places including Europe, United States, Asia and China. Now, let us try to forecast the trends based on the above mentioned survey results and trends. It let companies hire employees, purchase equipment, and manufacture products or deliver services. The regional Fed services indexes are shown in the table below - detect a pattern? Today, Bitcoin is one of the most valuable cryptos, and a lot of people are mining it. “Processors and producers contracted supply in reaction to those closures, and then started to see people ramping up cheese and dairy demand over the summer,” Plaskias said. As demand rose, the supply was slow to keep up, putting upward pressure on dairy prices.